上週,比特幣的價格創下新高,在週三早上突破11,000美元。

年初時其價格僅為997美元。

2012年,比特幣價格更只得8美元。不久後,Mt. Gox就被黑客入侵,價值將近5億美元的比特幣被盜。

在2011年初,它連1美元都不值。

我並不敢相信這個事實。

比特幣的價格會持續上升,抑或「泡沫」會爆破?

我採用了四種不同的時間序列模型作分析,以找出預測比特幣價格的最佳方法。在其後的分析中,我將會運用更多其他的預測法。

Bitcoin's price hit a new record last week, soaring above $11,000 on Wednesday morning.

It started off the year trading at just $997.

It was trading at about $8 in 2012. Shortly afterwards, Mt. Gox was hacked and almost $500 million worth of bitcoin was stolen.

It was worth less than $1 in early 2011.

I can’t believe what happened.

Will it continue to rise or will the 'bubble' burst?  
I used four different time series models to find out the best model to forecast Bitcoin price. More time-series models will be included in the competition later on.
See: http://www.alantse.net/index.php/2017-12-03-09-50-27/bitcoin 

 

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